President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE and former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE are in a dead heat in the crucial swing state of Florida, according to a new poll released Wednesday by Florida Atlantic University (FAU).
Trump and Biden each got 50 percent support among registered voters surveyed in the Sunshine State, possibly previewing a contentious showdown in a state that is a key battleground in the 2020 election.
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Trump is buoyed by a net-positive approval rating in Florida, with 47 percent of registered voters saying they approve of the job he’s doing while 44 percent disapprove. The result is a three-point uptick from FAU’s March poll.
The poll shows Biden putting up the best fight among Democrats against Trump, as registered voters favor the president over any other contender by narrow margins. Trump has a two-point edge on Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.), a four-point advantage over Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE and a six-point lead over Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.).
Biden has substantial leads over his Democratic rivals, beating Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), his closest primary opponent, by 27 points.
“President Trump’s approval ratings in Florida have remained fairly steady across our polling, and he continues to have a strong base of support in this state,” said Kevin Wagner, professor of political science at FAU. “Former Vice President Joe Biden does well across the board in Florida, and his strength among moderate Democrats appears largely unchallenged so far.”
Indicating he has his eye on the general election, Biden has refrained from hammering his Democratic opponents and has instead focused his ire on Trump, repeatedly criticizing his conduct in office. Trump has responded in kind, labeling the former vice president “SleepyCreepy Joe.”
Florida, a perennial swing state notorious for its narrow margins in statewide and national races, will likely play a crucial role to any candidate’s path to victory next year. Trump won the state by just over 1 percent in 2016.
The FAU poll surveyed 1,007 registered voters from May 16-19 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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